Crescimento econômico em conjunturas políticas desfavoráveis?

Has India’s political system aided its successful economic growth over
the past fifteen years, or has India’s rise occurred in spite of the political
forces militating against economic growth? On the face of it, the
picture of India’s success being “In Spite of the Gods,” to use Edward
Luce’s phrase, appears quite compelling (Luce 2008). Over the sixty
years since it gained independence from British rule, the Indian political
system has changed almost as dramatically as its more-heralded
economic system.
The principal political change has not been to India’s democratic
framework. That has remained intact. Rather, if one were to use a single
word to describe the modern Indian political system it would have to
be “fragmentation.” After continuous rule at the Center and in most
states by the Congress Party, today’s political system finds a multitude
of regional- and state-level political parties in power or in the position
of kingmaker as tenuous coalition governments are assembled.1
The effects of this are easy to see in the political arena: virulent
anti-incumbency tendencies and high electoral volatility, which in turn
affects the quality of governance and types of public policies enjoyed
by citizens.2 At the national level (or Centre), the rise of regional parties
and the increasing inability of the “national” parties such as the
Congress and Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to compete all over the
country have made coalition governments a fact of modern Indian
political life.
1 The fragmentation of the Indian political system is documented by
Chhibber and Nooruddin (2000), and explained by Pradeep Chhibber and
Kenneth Kollman (1998, 2004).
2 Linden (2004) and Nooruddin and Chhibber (2008) focus on anti-incumbency
and electoral volatility respectively. Chhibber and Nooruddin (2004) show that
Indian states characterized by multi-party competition provide lower levels of
public services to citizens than those with robust two-party competition ...

Coalition Politics and Economic Development: Credibility and Linkthe Strength of Weak Governments
Irfan Nooruddin
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